Gun Ownership vs Homicide Rate: The Media’s Genocidal Lie

… government military force, to be efficient, must be superior to any force that exists among the people; for otherwise this force would be annihilated on the first exercise of oppression. Before a standing army can rule, the people must be disarmed; as they are in almost every kingdom in Europe. — Noah Webster Leading Principles of the Federal Constitution, Philadelphia, 1787

The censorship of the ssri drug mass shooting connection alone should raise questions in anyone’s mind. If the media isn’t concerned with children’s welfare but only in preserving pharma profits while trashing the second amendment, then why is anyone  listening to them? They have a very very (very) long history, after all, of censorship and apologetics for mass torture and mass murder.   One would think that a self-described “liberal” would be among the first to recognize this satanic empire facade for what it is.

It’s very clear whose interests are served by lying about a supposed need for disarming the public.

Could there be a stronger case for gun ownership?

There is no clear correlation whatsoever between gun ownership rate and gun homicide rate. Not within the USA. Not regionally. Not internationally. Not among peaceful societies. Not among violent ones. Gun ownership doesn’t make us safer. It doesn’t make us less safe. A bivariate correlation simply isn’t there. It is blatantly not-there. It is so tremendously not-there that the “not-there-ness” of it alone should be a huge news story.

And anyone with access to the internet and a basic knowledge of Microsoft Excel can check for themselves. Here’s how you do it….

So let’s briefly recap. Gun Murder Rate is not correlated with firearm ownership rate in the United States, on a state by state basis. Firearm Homicide Rate is not correlated with guns per capita globally. It’s not correlated with guns per capita among peaceful countries, nor among violent countries, nor among European countries. So what in the heck is going on in the media, where we are constantly berated with signaling indicating that “more guns = more murder?”…

One: They’re sneaking suicide in with the data, and then obfuscating that inclusion with rhetoric….

Two: They’re cooking the homicide data.

The most comprehensive example of this is probably this study from the American Journal of Public Health. It’s widely cited, and was very comprehensive in its analytical approach, and was built by people I admire and whom I admit are smarter than me. But to understand how they ended up with their conclusions, and whether those conclusions actually mean what the pundits say they mean, we have to look at what they actually did and what they actually concluded….

The results of their multivariate model were that six factors influenced homicide rate, not one. Let’s go down that list.

· For each 1 percentage point increase in proportion of household gun ownership [via gun suicide proxy], firearm homicide rate increased by 0.9%

· For each 1 percentage point increase in proportion of Black population, firearm homicide rate increased by 5.2%

· For each 0.01 increase in Gini coefficient [income inequality], firearm homicide rate increased by 4.6%

· For each increase of 1/1000 in violent crime rate, firearm homicide rate increased by 4.8%

· For each increase of 1/1000 in nonviolent crime rate, firearm homicide rate increased by 0.8%

· For each increase of 1/10 000 in incarceration rate, firearm homicide rate decreased by 0.5%

So let’s start by clearing the air. The two primary correlations they found were not guns, they were income inequality and black population ratio. Does this mean that we can reduce firearm homicide by getting rid of black people?


No it does not.

Don’t even go there.

The reason we don’t go there is very important to understand. The study established correlations, not causality. The results might be explained by saying “black people tend to live disproportionately in poorer, urbanized areas that are more prone to homicide due to environmental factors.” That explanation may be completely reasonable. If, on the other hand, someone pointed at this study and said, “Black people are clearly the cause of homicide, we need to get rid of black people,” that would not only be a racially prejudiced statement, it would be illogical, because causality has not been shown.

But that also may mean “gun owners tend to live disproportionately in poorer, urbanized areas that are more prone to homicide due to environmental factors.” That could even be why they bought the gun. When a media source such as Mother Jones or Everytown for Gun Safety implies that “we have a gun problem,” they are making exactly the same reasoning error as if they said, “we have a black people problem.

And black population was six times more predictive than gun ownership was, in the AJPH model….

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